Arab Voices

"...Hussein Ibish, named by Foreign Policy magazine this week to its Twitterati 100, recently wrote a column acknowledging his errors in predicting the course of the Egyptian revolution and the wider Arab Spring.

The senior research fellow for the American Task Force on Palestine said he had learned some valuable lessons.

“Resist trying to impose any grand narratives. Take every apparently emerging pattern as contingent and unstable. Be prepared for Arab states and publics alike to pleasantly surprise or disappoint without warning,” he wrote.

“Avoid predictions whenever possible. And acknowledge that we frequently don’t really ‘know’ what we think we ‘know,’ for political realities are always at least a dozen steps ahead of every analyst.”"

http://rendezvous.blogs.nytimes.com/2012/06/19/arab-voices-the-lessons-of-the-egyptian-spring-so-far/

NYTimes blogs... Arab Voices: The Lessons of the Egyptian Spring So Far