"Thinking about the future means we do not create "false
idols" of the past or present. It means that we understand that we are
human, subject to God's laws, and that we do not allow ourselves become
so arrogant as to subject God to our own whims and fancy. It also
requires that we reject the temptation to use means that contradict the
very ends we seek to accomplish."
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The Importance of Vision
Monday May 19, 2014
A few days ago, I spent an afternoon with members of
the Syrian opposition delegation visiting Washington. They briefed me
on their many meetings with the Obama Administration (including a
lengthy session with the president) and with members of the Senate and
Congress. We also discussed problems they are facing on the ground in
Syria and issues with their messaging strategy.
At the very end of our wide-ranging conversation, a
leader of the delegation surprised me with a few unexpected questions.
He asked "What is your long-term vision for the region— from Iraq to
Lebanon— how do you see it in the future? And what do you see for us in
the next three years?"
I was surprised, but I was also delighted, because these
are exactly the questions that should be asked and answered by leaders
on all levels of government and civil society across the Middle East.
It is critically important to have a broad strategic
vision of the future that embodies the values and aspirations of your
people. And it is equally important to be able to project how you can
see that vision being implemented in the short term.
My initial response might have been a bit flippant,
saying that looking 100 years down the road I can see an Arab boy from
Amman marrying an Israeli girl from Tel Aviv and taking a job and
settling down in the suburbs of Damascus. But I quickly added that what I
meant was that I envisioned a region at peace with itself, with
integrated societies, economies, and open borders (or no borders, at
all) allowing for the free movement of people and commerce.
Given the bloody wars of the last several decades and
continuing tumult and tension, such a vision might appear to some to be
fanciful. There will be naysayers who will go so far as to argue that it
is not in the genetic makeup of this or that side to ever accept such a
peace or integration. But I am convinced that they are wrong. No group
of people is uniquely indisposed to peace and integration and no people
are immune from the inevitable pressures of history.
In this regard, the Middle East is not exceptional. It
is true that the region is plagued by war and upheaval— but then what
region of the world has not been so plagued. Much the same despair was
once widespread across Europe. That continent had, for centuries, been
the setting for bloody conflicts that pitted nations and sects against
each other, culminating in the 20th century's two devastating world
wars. Who, in the midst of the last century's horrors, could have
imagined a Europe at peace with itself?
In the past few decades, Europe formed an economic union
and then ended a Cold War that had divided the continent. Though still
not a "perfect union," it is impossible to ignore the profound and
positive transformations that have occurred and are still unfolding
across that once tormented region.
What is important is that, in the midst of conflict,
people be given a vision of the future and the possibility of change,
precisely so that they not surrender to despair. Projecting such vision
can inspire and motivate societies to move forward, rejecting the
paralysis that comes from feeling trapped by present day "realities". By
projecting a progressive vision of the future, leaders are also able to
present a stark contrast between the idea of the world they seek to
create with notions advocated by those operating without such a vision.
When applied to the conflicts raging across the Levant, the matter becomes clearer.
What, for example would be Bashar al Assad's vision of
the future? And who would want to live in the future projected by ISIS
or Jabhat al Nusra? Is there anyone who hopes that Lebanon one hundred
years from now is still divided by sect, with power monopolized by the
same families who have governed their clans or regions for the past
century? And is there any future in the exclusivist, irredentist notions
advocated by hard-line Israelis or their counterparts in the
Palestinian camp?
Having a progressive vision of the future allows one to
challenge those who can't think beyond the dead-end constraints of the
present. It rejects those who for reasons of power and personal
privilege want to freeze current realities or elevate them to the status
of the eternal, and those whose blasphemous distortions of religion
cause them to envision the future as a return to an idealized past.
Thinking about the future means we do not create "false
idols" of the past or present. It means that we understand that we are
human, subject to God's laws, and that we do not allow ourselves become
so arrogant as to subject God to our own whims and fancy. It also
requires that we reject the temptation to use means that contradict the
very ends we seek to accomplish.
This leads me to consider my Syrian friend's second no
less important question, which is to envision the Levant in three years’
time. In some ways, this is a more difficult challenge because it
forces us to directly confront the constraints of the present day. While
I believe that 100 years from now there will be no latter-day "al
Assad" on the scene, no "religious" fanatics tormenting those who are
"less pure", no clan leaders or ultra-nationalists— they are precisely
the characters who define present day life.
They must be defeated— but
how they are defeated matters. That's why a future vision based on
values is important. Fighting evil with evil, repression with
repression, or fanaticism with fanaticism, is a no-win proposition. New
ideas matter and so do new means by which to bring those ideas to
life.
I thank my Syrian friend for asking his thoughtful
questions and for the discussion that followed. It provided us both an
opportunity to reflect on means and ends and goals. The very fact that
he asked these questions made me appreciate his leadership. I would love
to hear this challenge put to other leaders, on all levels, across the
Levant. Their answers would be revealing.
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